This book supports companies in the transport sector, political decision-makers, transport engineers, planners and scientists doing fundamental research who are confronted by growing challenges in transport. These challenges arise from a number of powerful socio-technical trends, including: digitalisation, globalisation, urbanisation, and the requirements of individual users and the increased need to reduce environmental impact of transport. Providing the innovations required to cope with these challenges is not a simple matter.
Towards Innovative Transport Systems structures and compiles theoretical foundations from evolutionary economics, the sociology of technology and innovation research in a way that provides a broad understanding of innovation processes without demanding prior knowledge. Using the Concept of Transport System Evolution (CTSE), it explains in depth the economics of innovation in the transport sector, thus contextualising processes, drivers and obstacles at work in current practice; among such processes are the changeover to electric mobility, the realization of autonomous cars, the revival of railway by innovations and dealing with disruptive innovations in transport. The CTSE is an approach to making concrete the multi-level perspective for the transport sector introduced by Frank Geels. On the basis of the CTSE, the author proposes principles for a novel innovation policy in transport that can serve the reader as a guide when making strategic decisions.
Author(s): Stephan Müller
Series: Lecture Notes in Intelligent Transportation and Infrastructure
Publisher: Springer
Year: 2022
Language: English
Pages: 230
City: Cham
Preamble
Acknowledgements
Contents
Abbreviations
List of Figures
List of Tables
1 Introduction
References
2 Overview of Innovations, Innovation Research and the Evolution of Transport Systems
2.1 Evolutionary Economics and Innovation Research—An Overview
2.2 Types of Innovations
2.3 Long Waves of Economic Upswings and Downswings
2.4 Models for the Entrepreneurial Function and Actor’s Routines
2.4.1 Interactive Models
2.4.2 System Models
2.4.3 Evolutionary Approach
2.4.4 Theories of Innovative Milieus
2.5 Approaches for the Evolution of Transport Systems
References
3 The Concept of Transport System Evolution and Its Demonstration
3.1 Explanation of the Logic of Transport System Evolution
3.1.1 Phase 1: Stabilization of a Niche Technology in a Niche Market
3.1.2 Phase 2: Technology Transition to Niche Technology in a Mass Market
3.1.3 Phase 3: Growth of a Mass Technology in a Mass Market
3.1.4 Phase 4: Degeneration of a Mass Technology into a Niche Market
3.2 The Co-evolution of Transport Systems
3.3 The Evolution of Transport Systems in Interaction with the Landscape
3.4 Empirical Verification of the Transport System Evolution Mechanism
3.4.1 Analytical Example of the Pathway to the Lock-in Effect in the Stabilization Phase
3.4.2 Analytical Example of the Attacker’s Advantage in the Transition Phase
3.4.3 Analytical Example of the Innovator’s Dilemma in the Growth Phase
3.4.4 Analytical Example of the Stalemate in Technology in the Degeneration Phase
3.4.5 Analytical Example of the Offset of Evolutionary Phases
3.4.6 Analytical Example of Regimes and Their Interaction with the Landscape
3.5 Discussion of the Status Quo of Freight Transport Systems with the Evolutionary Economic Perspective
3.5.1 Evolutionary Phases of Road and Rail
3.5.2 Pressure from the Landscape
3.5.3 Niche Activities
References
4 Principles of Transport-Innovation Policy
4.1 Transport Policy and Innovation Policy: An Overview Towards Transport-Innovation Policy
4.1.1 Transport Policy
4.1.2 Innovation Policy
4.1.3 Transport-Innovation Policy
4.2 Consideration of ‘The State’ and ‘The Role of the State’ in Transport-Innovation Policy
4.2.1 Driver or Passenger? The Entrepreneurial Role of the State
4.2.2 Protector or Liberator? The Architectural Role of the State
4.2.3 Learnings from the Past
4.3 A Transport-Innovation Policy Based on Evolution of Transport Systems
4.3.1 Stabilization Phase: Principles for Transport-Innovation Policy for a Niche Technology in a Niche Market
4.3.2 Technology Transition Phase: Principles for Transport-Innovation Policy for a Niche Technology going towards the Mass Market
4.3.3 Growth Phase: Principles for Transport-Innovation Policy for the Mass Technology in a Mass Market
4.3.4 Degeneration Phase: Principles for Transport-Innovation Policy for Mass Technology in a Niche Market
4.4 Summary of the Principles of Transport-Innovation Policy
4.5 Application Study: Automated Driving
4.5.1 Background and Problem Statement
4.5.2 The Evolutionary Phase of the Automotive-Regime
4.5.3 Interdependencies of the Evolutionary Phase
4.5.4 An Evolutionarily Oriented Transport-Innovation Policy: Target System and Measures in the Context of ‘Automatization of Road Transport’
References
5 Conclusion, Discussion and Outlook
5.1 Discussion of the Research
5.1.1 The Danger of Analogy Conclusions
5.1.2 Practicability for the Established Policy
5.2 Response to the Working Hypotheses and Research Question
5.3 Most Relevant Research Spheres for Deeper Understanding, Progress and Deployment
5.3.1 The Need for Quantification
5.3.2 A System of Indicators for Status Evaluation
5.3.3 Advanced Transition Management
5.3.4 Urbanization, City Development and Transportation
5.3.5 Contingency, Micro-policy and Recursivity Within Regimes
References
Appendices
Appendix A: Innovations on the Automotive Industry Referred to the Innovation Competition Pattern
Appendix B: Evaluation of the Annual Reports of the VDA
