Drawing on data from the Scottish Referendum Study and subsequent Scottish Election Studies, this book provides the first in depth analysis of how voters engaged with the independence referendum in 2014 and what impact this has had on vote choice, polarisation and engagement in Scotland since then. The book contains eight chapters, and discusses how voters engaged with the referendum campaign, explains vote choice by examining reactions to the cues of parties, leaders and events, and compares the importance of these to calculations about risk.
Author(s): Ailsa Henderson, Robert Johns, Jac M. Larner, Christopher J. Carman
Publisher: Palgrave Pivot
Year: 2022
Language: English
Pages: 204
City: Cham
Contents
List of Figures
List of Tables
1 Studying Referendums and Voting in Scotland
Referendums in Comparative Perspective
Studying Referendums in Scotland
The ‘Other’ Referendum
A Summary of the Book
Bibliography
2 The 2014 Referendum in Scotland
The Scottish Independence Campaign in Context
The 2014 Campaign Context and Timeline
The Long Campaign
Voter Engagement with the Referendum Campaign
Voter Evaluations of the Independence Campaign
Voter Evaluations of the Brexit Campaign
Conclusion
Bibliography
3 How Voters Reacted to Campaign Cues
Conditions for Cueing
Party Cues
Ideological Cues
Cues from Politicians
Media Cues
The Vow
Conclusion
Bibliography
4 Explaining Referendum Vote Choice
Community and Identity
Economic and Other Calculations
Who Voted Which Way?
Modelling the Referendum Vote
Conclusion
Bibliography
5 One Earthquake or Two?
The Earthquake in 2014
The Tremor in 2016?
Independence, Brexit and Voting
The Brexit Aftershock
Conclusion
Bibliography
6 Electoral Behaviour 2015–2019: The Multilevel Scottish Voter
Party Preferences in Scotland
The Realignment
Multilevel Voting in Scotland
A New Approach to Multilevel Voting
Conclusion
Bibliography
7 How the Referendum Changed Scotland: Engagement, Polarisation and Losers’ Consent
Referendums and Engagement
Affective and Cognitive Polarisation in Post-referendum Scotland
Scotland’s Four Political Tribes
Standing Up for Scotland
Losers’ Consent
Conclusion
Bibliography
8 Conclusion: Now What?
Appendices
Appendix 1
Scottish Referendum/Election Surveys
Appendix 2: Statistical Tables
Supplementary Information for Statistical Modelling
Political Knowledge (Chapter 6)
Do People Understand What Different Levels of Government Are Responsible for?
Bibliography
Index
