Mathematicians call it the Monty Hall Problem, and it is one of the most interesting mathematical brain teasers of recent times. Imagine that you face three doors, behind one of which is a prize. You choose one but do not open it. The host--call him Monty Hall--opens a different door, always choosing one he knows to be empty. Left with two doors, will you do better by sticking with your first choice, or by switching to the other remaining door? In this light-hearted yet ultimately serious book, Jason Rosenhouse explores the history of this fascinating puzzle. Using a minimum of mathematics (and none at all for much of the book), he shows how the problem has fascinated philosophers, psychologists, and many others, and examines the many variations that have appeared over the years. As Rosenhouse demonstrates, the Monty Hall Problem illuminates fundamental mathematical issues and has abiding philosophical implications. Perhaps most important, he writes, the problem opens a window on our cognitive difficulties in reasoning about uncertainty.
Author(s): Jason Rosenhouse
Edition: 1
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Year: 2009
Language: English
Pages: 207
Table of Contents
......Page 6
1- Ancestral Monty
......Page 14
2- Classical Monty
......Page 48
3- Bayesian Monty
......Page 70
4- Progressive Monty
......Page 102
5- Miscellaneous Monty
......Page 126
6- Cognitive Monty
......Page 146
7- Philosophical Monty
......Page 168
8- Final Monty
......Page 188