The Indirect Estimation of Migration: Methods for Dealing with Irregular, Inadequate, and Missing Data

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This unique book introduces an essential element in applied demographic analysis: a tool-kit for describing, smoothing, repairing and - in instances of totally missing data - inferring directional migration flows. Migration rates combine with fertility and mortality rates to shape the evolution of human populations. Demographers have found that all three generally exhibit persistent regularities in their age and spatial patterns, when changing levels are controlled for. Drawing on statistical descriptions of such regularities, it is often possible to improve the quality of the available data by smoothing irregular data, imposing the structures of borrowed and related data on unreliable data, and estimating missing data by indirect methods. Model migration schedules and log-linear models are presented as powerful methods for helping population researchers, historical demographers, geographers, and migration analysts work with the data available to them.

Author(s): Andrei Rogers, James Raymer, Jani Little (auth.)
Series: The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis 26
Edition: 1
Publisher: Springer Netherlands
Year: 2010

Language: English
Pages: 170
Tags: Migration; Demography; Quantitative Geography; Statistics for Social Science, Behavorial Science, Education, Public Policy, and Law; Sociology, general

Front Matter....Pages i-xiii
Introduction....Pages 1-8
Describing Age Structures of Migration....Pages 9-28
Describing Spatial Structures of Migration....Pages 29-45
Smoothing Age and Spatial Patterns....Pages 47-85
Imposing Age and Spatial Patterns....Pages 87-119
Inferring Age and Spatial Patterns....Pages 121-153
Conclusion....Pages 155-158
Back Matter....Pages 159-170