The False Promise of Superiority: The United States and Nuclear Deterrence after the Cold War

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This political analysis exposes the fanciful logic that the United States can use nuclear weapons to vanquish nuclear adversaries or influence them when employing various coercive tactics.

During the Cold War, American policymakers sought nuclear advantages to offset an alleged Soviet edge. Policymakers hoped that US nuclear capabilities would safeguard deterrence, when backed perhaps by a set of coercive tactics. But policymakers also hedged their bets with plans to fight a nuclear war to their advantage should deterrence fail. In
The False Promise of Superiority, James H. Lebovic argues that the US approach was fraught with peril and remains so today. He contends that the United States can neither simply impose its will on nuclear adversaries nor safeguard deterrence using these same coercive tactics without risking severe, counterproductive effects. As Lebovic shows, the current faith in US nuclear superiority could produce the disastrous consequences that US weapons and tactics are meant to avoid. This book concludes that US interests are best served when policymakers resist the temptation to use, or prepare to use, nuclear weapons first or to brandish nuclear
weapons for coercive effect.

Author(s): James H. Lebovic
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Year: 2023

Language: English
Pages: 287
City: New York

Cover
The False Promise of Superiority
Copyright
Dedication
Contents
Preface
Acknowledgments
1. The United States and Nuclear Deterrence after the Cold War
PART I ASSESSING NUCLEAR CAPABILITY
2. The Cold-​War Nuclear Force Balance: The Challenge and Promise of Asymmetry
3. Nuclear “Superiority” after the Cold War
PART I I COERCIVE TACTICS
4. Commitment
5. Risk Manipulation
6. Resolve and Reputation
PART I I I CASE STUDIES
7. When Tactics Consume Strategy: Decision Making in the Cuban Missile Crisis
8. When Red Lines Consume Debate: Thwarting Iran’s Nuclear Ambitions
9. The Case for Nuclear Superiority: Assessing What We Know (and Do Not Know) about Nuclear Deterrence
Notes
References
Index