The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling

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Three centuries ago Montmort and De Moivre published two of the first books on probability theory, then called the doctrine of chances, emphasizing its most important application at that time, games of chance. This volume, on the probabilistic aspects of gambling, is a modern version of those classics. While covering the classical material such as house advantage and gambler's ruin, it also takes up such 20th-century topics as martingales, Markov chains, game theory, bold play, and optimal proportional play. In addition there is extensive coverage of specific casino games such as roulette, craps, video poker, baccarat, and twenty-one.

The volume addresses researchers and graduate students in probability theory, stochastic processes, game theory, operations research, statistics but it is also accessible to undergraduate students, who have had a course in probability.

Author(s): Stewart N. Ethier (auth.)
Series: Probability and its Applications
Edition: 1
Publisher: Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
Year: 2010

Language: English
Pages: 816
Tags: Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes; Game Theory, Economics, Social and Behav. Sciences

Front Matter....Pages I-XIV
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
Review of Probability....Pages 3-73
Conditional Expectation....Pages 75-94
Martingales....Pages 95-117
Markov Chains....Pages 119-158
Game Theory....Pages 159-198
House Advantage....Pages 199-240
Gambler’s Ruin....Pages 241-274
Betting Systems....Pages 275-316
Bold Play....Pages 317-356
Optimal Proportional Play....Pages 357-390
Card Theory....Pages 391-425
Front Matter....Pages 427-427
Slot Machines....Pages 429-460
Roulette....Pages 461-482
Keno....Pages 483-500
Craps....Pages 501-524
House-Banked Poker....Pages 525-544
Video Poker....Pages 545-572
Faro....Pages 573-595
Baccarat....Pages 597-621
Trente et Quarante....Pages 623-642
Front Matter....Pages 427-427
Twenty-One....Pages 643-687
Poker....Pages 689-744
Back Matter....Pages 745-816