Politometrics

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Tashkent, FAN Publishing house of the Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Uzbekistan
2000
Description of the model of determining of sociopolitical processes, developed by the author, which consists mathematical description of the law of change incentive and compulsive motives of sociobehavior. On the basis of this model, one can resolve today’s topical problems:
conducting the systems analysis of interaction of policy, culture and economics;
revealing the most common, in-depth faults of democratic reforms in more than a hundred completely different countries of Asia, Africa and Latin America, which fail to get out from economical backwardness (GNP per capita, or SGNP, in these countries is below 1 thousand US dollars) despite active democratic and market-oriented reforms having been carried out during many decades;
conducting objective analysis and making correct forecast of development of existing countries of the world and, in particular, of CIS countries;
definition of optimal sequence and tempo of democratic reforms ensuring dynamic and sustainable socioeconomic development of society, and raising in shortest terms the SGNP of these countries up to the level of 5-20 thousand US dollars.
The results of mathematical modeling of sociopolitical processes are published and discussed on international forums in the USA, Germany, Korea, Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Kyrghyzstan, Uzbekistan and other countries.
Due to its simplicity and visibility, graphical representation of the model may serve as a peculiar manual on political education of youth and adults, and also to their understanding of the modern scientific concepts of the civilization development, discovering hopelessness of various Utopias, myths and ideas of political extremism.
This book is intended for researchers, under-graduate, post-graduate and doctoral students, and everyone who is interested in problems of social development.
Contents
Foreword
Іntroduction
The concept of the model of actual section of sociopolitical processes
The problem of general theory of sociopolitical processes
The Problem of Objective Analysis of Multiple-Meaning Processes
System approach in research of sociopolitical processes
The concept of the model of actual section of sociopolitical processes
Determining section and its model
Analysis of the contents and historical evolution of sociobehavior motives
Economic motive
Administrative motive
Moral-ethical motive
Parameterization of the sociobehavior motives
General decomposition and parameterization of the sociobehavior motives
Measurement of resultant aspect of motives
Workers
Mathematical models of trends of the sociobehavior motives
Model of evolution of the М-motive
Model of evolution of the A-motive
Model of evolution of the E-motive
Basics of politometrics
Analysis of the mathematical model of sociopolitical processes
Analysis and type-design of fluctuations of social development
Politometrcis: quantitative characteristics of sociopolitical processes
Optimization of sociopolitical development of society
Comparative analysis of reliability and efficiency of basic types of productive-economic systems
The conditions and processes of political and economic self-development of society
Fig
Graphs of emergence and development of the middle class
The role of politometrics in transformational processes
Socioeconomic problems
The role of socioeconomic structures and adequate assessment of activity results in economic development of society
Entrepreneurship and economy
Culture and economy
Conclusion
bibliography
contents

Author(s): Gafurov A.A.

Language: English
Commentary: 844300
Tags: Социологические дисциплины;Социология политики