Nonlinear Dynamics of Financial Crises: How to Predict Discontinuous Decisions

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When just a handful of economists predicted the 2008 financial crisis, people should wonder how so many well educated people with enormous datasets and computing power can be so wrong. In this short book Ionut Purica joins a growing number of economists who explore the failings of mainstream economics and propose solutions developed in other disciplines, such as sociology and evolutionary biology. While it might be premature to call for a revolution, Dr. Purica echoes John Maynard Keynes in believing that economic ideas are "dangerous for good or evil." In recent years evil seems to have had the upper hand. "Nonlinear Dynamics of Financial Crises" points to their ability to do good.

  • Makes complex economics ideas accessible by carefully explaining technical terms and minimizing mathematics and equations
  • Delivers easily-understood perspectives about the global economy by constructing broad assumptions and conclusions in the face of its infinitely complexity
  • Challenges received economic ideas by focusing on human behavior and the roles it plays in easily-observable recent trends and events

Author(s): Ionut Purica
Edition: 1
Publisher: Academic Press
Year: 2015

Language: English
Pages: 124
Tags: Финансово-экономические дисциплины;Прогнозирование социально-экономических процессов;

Content:
Front-matter, Pages i,iii
Copyright, Page iv
Dedication, Page v
Brief Description of the Book, Pages ix-x
Acknowledgments, Page xi
Chapter 1 - Introduction, Pages 1-7
Chapter 2 - Evolution of Financial Crises, Pages 9-21
Chapter 3 - The Sociocultural Niche, Pages 23-37
Chapter 4 - Occupy the Financial Niche—Saturation and Crisis, Pages 39-60
Chapter 5 - Monitoring Issues and Measuring the Change, Pages 61-74
Chapter 6 - Nonlinear Effects in Market Penetration—Deterministic Chaos, Pages 75-87
Chapter 7 - Final Thoughts on Crises and Adaptability, Pages 89-94
Appendix 1 - Evolution of Models in Relation to Crisis Cycles, Pages 95-101
Appendix 2 - Logistic Map, Pages 103-107
Bibliography, Pages 109-112