Markov Chain Aggregation for Agent-Based Models

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This self-contained text develops a Markov chain approach that makes the rigorous analysis of a class of microscopic models that specify the dynamics of complex systems at the individual level possible. It presents a general framework of aggregation in agent-based and related computational models, one which makes use of lumpability and information theory in order to link the micro and macro levels of observation. The starting point is a microscopic Markov chain description of the dynamical process in complete correspondence with the dynamical behavior of the agent-based model (ABM), which is obtained by considering the set of all possible agent configurations as the state space of a huge Markov chain. An explicit formal representation of a resulting “micro-chain” including microscopic transition rates is derived for a class of models by using the random mapping representation of a Markov process. The type of probability distribution used to implement the stochastic part of the model, which defines the updating rule and governs the dynamics at a Markovian level, plays a crucial part in the analysis of “voter-like” models used in population genetics, evolutionary game theory and social dynamics. The book demonstrates that the problem of aggregation in ABMs - and the lumpability conditions in particular - can be embedded into a more general framework that employs information theory in order to identify different levels and relevant scales in complex dynamical systems

Author(s): Sven Banisch
Series: Understanding Complex Systems
Publisher: Springer
Year: 2016

Language: English
Pages: 205
Tags: Nonlinear Dynamics; Complex Systems; Mathematical Methods in Physics; Complexity

Front Matter....Pages i-xiv
Introduction....Pages 1-10
Background and Concepts....Pages 11-33
Agent-Based Models as Markov Chains....Pages 35-55
The Voter Model with Homogeneous Mixing....Pages 57-82
From Network Symmetries to Markov Projections....Pages 83-107
Application to the Contrarian Voter Model....Pages 109-126
Information-Theoretic Measures for the Non-Markovian Case....Pages 127-155
Overlapping Versus Non-overlapping Generations....Pages 157-175
Aggregation and Emergence: A Synthesis....Pages 177-186
Conclusion....Pages 187-195