Long-range Forecasting: From Crystal Ball to Computer

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Getting started. Forecasting methods. Evaluation. Comparing methods. Commencement.

Author(s): Jon Scott Armstrong
Edition: 2
Publisher: Wiley-Interscience
Year: 1985

Language: English
Pages: 687
City: New York
Tags: Forecasting

Cover
Part I Getting Started
Part I Getting Started
Introduction
The Systems Approach
Implementation
Research Strategies
Part II Forecasting Methods
Part II Forecasting Methods
Classifying the Forecasting Methods
Judgmental Methods
Extrapolation Methods
Econometric Methods
Segmentation Methods
Bootstrapping and Other Combined Methods
Part III Evaluation
Part III Evaluation
Evaluation Schemes
Testing Inputs
Testing Outputs
Part IV Comparing Methods
Part IV Comparing Methods
Costs and Benefits of the Forecasting Methods
An Evaluation of Accuracy
Part V Commencement
Part V Commencement
Trends in the Use of Forecasting Methods
Research on Forecasting Methods
The Third Edition
Errata for the first edition
Appendices
Glossary
References
Updated Bibliography
People Index
Subject Index
Postscripts