The book addresses a weakness of current methodologies used in extreme value assessment, i.e. the assumption of stationarity, which is not given in reality. With respect to this issue a lot of new developed technologies are presented, i.e. influence of trends vs. internal correlations, quantitative uncertainty assessments, etc. The book not only focuses on artificial time series data, but has a close link to empirical measurements, in order to make the suggested methodologies applicable for practitioners in water management and meteorology.
Author(s): Jan F. Eichner, Jan W. Kantelhardt, Armin Bunde, Shlomo Havlin (auth.), Jürgen Kropp, Hans-Joachim Schellnhuber (eds.)
Edition: 1
Publisher: Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
Year: 2011
Language: English
Pages: 320
Tags: Oceanography; Climate Change; Statistics for Engineering, Physics, Computer Science, Chemistry and Earth Sciences; Environmental Physics; Meteorology/Climatology; Hydrogeology
Front Matter....Pages i-xx
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
The Statistics of Return Intervals, Maxima, and Centennial Events Under the Influence of Long-Term Correlations....Pages 2-43
The Bootstrap in Climate Risk Analysis....Pages 44-58
Confidence Intervals for Flood Return Level Estimates Assuming Long-Range Dependence....Pages 60-88
Regional Determination of Historical Heavy Rain for Reconstruction of Extreme Flood Events....Pages 90-102
Development of Regional Flood Frequency Relationships for Gauged and Ungauged Catchments Using L-Moments....Pages 104-127
Front Matter....Pages 129-129
Intense Precipitation and High Floods – Observations and Projections....Pages 130-142
About Trend Detection in River Floods....Pages 144-165
Extreme Value Analysis Considering Trends: Application to Discharge Data of the Danube River Basin....Pages 166-183
Extreme Value and Trend Analysis Based on Statistical Modelling of Precipitation Time Series....Pages 184-200
A Review on the Pettitt Test Pettitt-test ....Pages 202-213
Front Matter....Pages 215-215
Detrended Fluctuation Studies of Long-Term Persistence and Multifractality of Precipitation and River Runoff Records....Pages 216-248
Long-Term Structures in Southern German Runoff Data....Pages 250-265
Seasonality Effects on Nonlinear Properties of Hydrometeorological Records....Pages 266-284
Spatial Correlations of River Runoffs in a Catchment....Pages 286-313
Back Matter....Pages 315-320
