Future-Oriented Technology Analysis: Strategic Intelligence for an Innovative Economy

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The application of foresight to address the challenges of uncertainty and rapid change has grown dramatically in the past decade. In that period, the techniques have been greatly refined and the scope has been broadened to encompass future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) and more recently, the concept and practice of strategic intelligence.

FTA addresses directly the longer-term future through the active and continuous development of visions, and pathways to realise these visions. It is increasingly seen as a valuable management and policy tool complementing, and extending further into the future, classical strategy, planning, and decision-making approaches.

This book charts the development of FTA and provides the first coherent description and analysis of its practical application and impact in the worlds of business, government, education and research in both advanced and developing countries. It draws on papers addressing the application of FTA around the globe which were presented at the Second International Seville Seminar in September 2006.

The insights and practical experience will be invaluable for company managers, government ministers and officials, researchers and academics with responsibilities for effective planning and decision-making in an increasingly turbulent and unpredictable world.

Author(s): C. Cagnin, M. Keenan (auth.), Cristiano Cagnin, Michael Keenan, Ron Johnston, Fabiana Scapolo, Rémi Barré (eds.)
Edition: 1
Publisher: Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
Year: 2008

Language: English
Pages: 170
Tags: R & D/Technology Policy; Technology Management; Methodology of the Social Sciences; Organization/Planning; Operations Research/Decision Theory

Front Matter....Pages i-viii
Positioning Future-Oriented Technology Analysis....Pages 1-13
Historical Review of the Development of Future-Oriented Technology Analysis....Pages 17-23
Fitting Future-Oriented Technology Analysis Methods to Study Types....Pages 25-40
Revisiting Foresight Rationales: What Lessons from the Social Sciences and Humanities?....Pages 41-52
Monstrous Foresight....Pages 53-68
Technology Foresight as Innovation Policy Instrument: Learning from Science and Technology Studies....Pages 71-87
Strategic Intelligence in Decision Making....Pages 89-102
Corporate Foresight....Pages 103-114
The Higher Education Sector and its Role in Research: Status and Impact of International Future-Oriented Technology Analysis....Pages 115-129
Applying FTA Methods in Latin American Countries....Pages 131-145
New Methodological Developments in FTA....Pages 149-162
Future-Oriented Technology Analysis: Future Directions....Pages 163-169