Russians want free elections and order. Although their political elites have had no difficulty in supplying candidates and parties in the last decade, predictability in everyday life and the rule of law have suffered. This book is about Russia's attempt to achieve democratization backwards, by holding elections without having created a modern state. This dilemma is the challenge that Russia presents to Vladimir Putin.
Author(s): Richard Rose, Neil Munro
Year: 2002
Language: English
Pages: 274
Cover......Page 1
Half-title......Page 3
Title......Page 5
Copyright......Page 6
Dedication......Page 7
Contents......Page 9
Figures......Page 11
Tables......Page 12
Introduction. The reality of Russia......Page 13
The meaning of order......Page 14
A partly transformed society......Page 16
Plan of the book......Page 17
Approaches to Russia......Page 22
1 A disorderly legacy......Page 28
Disorderly rule under many regimes......Page 29
The new Soviet order......Page 30
The collapse of the party-state......Page 34
The disorderly creation of the Russian Federation......Page 36
The morning after......Page 38
An economy with too much money and not enough order......Page 44
Trials and errors......Page 45
The legacy: debt and corruption......Page 51
2 Democratization backwards......Page 53
Creating modern and anti-modern states......Page 55
Modernizing the state not a Russian tradition......Page 56
The anti-modern legacy......Page 59
Realizing the democratic potential of modern states......Page 63
Contrasts in post-Communist contexts......Page 65
Alternative outcomes......Page 70
3 What Russians have made of transformation......Page 73
How good were the good old days?......Page 74
Freedom but not much law......Page 78
Getting by – with or without money......Page 82
Regimes: matching supply and demand......Page 86
Democratic ideal and Russian reality......Page 87
Undemocratic alternatives......Page 90
4 Presidential succession: a Family problem......Page 94
A feeble state: Yeltsin’s second term......Page 95
Appointing and dismissing prime ministers......Page 97
The options......Page 101
Early front runners......Page 103
Vladimir Putin: a controlled explosion......Page 106
Another challenge from Chechnya......Page 108
Putin’s popularity takes off......Page 111
5 Parties without accountability......Page 113
Four systems of parties......Page 115
Why Duma elections matter......Page 121
In search of a winning combination......Page 123
Persistent but not popular parties......Page 127
6 A floating system of parties......Page 130
Getting on the ballot......Page 131
Media attack......Page 135
Party tactics......Page 138
What the polls showed......Page 141
Multiple outcomes......Page 142
Six parties sweep the list......Page 145
Independents dominate the districts......Page 146
Aggregation without accountability......Page 149
7 Impact of transformation on Duma voters......Page 153
Competing parties and competing regimes......Page 155
Competing economic systems too......Page 158
Ideologies and party choice......Page 159
Equilibrium influences......Page 162
Economics and issues......Page 163
Personalities......Page 165
Social structure......Page 166
Transformation most important for party choice......Page 169
Competition in two dimensions......Page 171
Clear-cut and fuzzy-focus parties......Page 173
8 From acting to elected president......Page 176
Yeltsin’s last surprise......Page 177
Taking charge......Page 181
Co-opting or marginalizing opponents......Page 184
Confirmation without campaigning......Page 185
Looking presidential......Page 186
Official confirmation: the result......Page 188
Multiple influences on presidential choice......Page 191
9 Campaigning and governing......Page 199
Popularity......Page 200
Intensity of commitment......Page 201
Centralizing power......Page 207
Increasing the Kremlin’s grip......Page 208
Selective enforcement of the law......Page 211
Disciplining wild capitalism......Page 215
Going international – before and after September 11......Page 217
Capitalizing on September 11......Page 219
Not much change yet......Page 223
Future expectations and risks......Page 224
Steely assurance......Page 227
10 In search of an equilibrium......Page 230
The rule of law in short supply......Page 232
Strong horizontal but weak vertical ties......Page 235
An absence of accountability......Page 239
Problems of supply......Page 243
Problems of demand......Page 244
A new equilibrium?......Page 248
Settling down differently......Page 250
Appendix A New Russia Barometer samples......Page 252
Appendix B Coding of independent variables......Page 254
References......Page 258
Index......Page 271
