Commodities as an Asset Class: Essays on Inflation, the Paradox of Gold and the Impact of Crypto

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This book challenges the notion that commodities are always good hedges against inflation, which is the conventional belief today in financial markets. Specifically, it focuses on gold as a traditional hedge and the ways in which crypto assets are argued to be positioned as an alternative hedge against inflationary risk.

The book engages with emerging debates around the performance of gold since the 2008 financial crisis, analyzing its characteristics, relationship with inflation, and the role of mining companies, and discusses ways that cryptocurrencies have replaced precious metals as an attractive asset class during an inflationary scenario. In considering the case of crypto as being or not a good inflation hedge, the book devotes particular attention to the theoretical financial and macroeconomic implications of a monetary system based on Bitcoin, dealing with the concept of money and the determination of Bitcoin’s supply and purchasing power. Additionally, it outlines the consequences that such a system would entail for the banking industry, and financial conditions involving interest rates, exchange rates, and the inflation-deflation dynamic. The book also analyses the relative impact of past and future events on the different commodity families.

This work will be of interest to students and researchers in financial economics, macroeconomics, and monetary economics, as well as analysts and traders in financial and commodity markets.

Author(s): Alan G. Futerman, Ivo A. Sarjanovic
Series: Palgrave Studies in Classical Liberalism
Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan
Year: 2022

Language: English
Pages: 188
City: Cham

Foreword by John B. Taylor
Acknowledgments
Introduction
Reference
Praise for Commodities as an Asset Class
Contents
List of Figures
List of Tables
1 Are Commodities a Good Hedge Against Inflation?
1.1 Introduction
1.2 No-Arbitrage Model, Futures Curves, and Inflation Conditions
1.3 Using Commodities as a Hedge: A Brief Example and Some Observations
1.4 Commodities vs. Inflation (1960–2021)
1.4.1 1960–1970
1.4.2 1970–1980
1.4.3 1980–1990
1.4.4 1990–2000
1.4.5 2000–2010
1.4.6 2010–2020
1.4.7 Full Analysis 1960–2021
1.5 Agriculture and the Future of Energy
1.6 Inflation and Currencies
1.7 Conclusion on Commodities and Inflation
Bibliography
2 Precious Metals: The Bull Market that Faded (as of yet)
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Macroeconomic Perspectives and Inflation
2.3 Gold and Miners
2.4 Conclusion on Gold, Miners and Inflation
Bibliography
3 The Market’s New Gold and the Promise of Bitcoin
3.1 Introduction
3.2 What Is Bitcoin?
3.3 BTC as Money?
3.4 BTC Supply and Demand Fundamentals
3.5 The Financial System Under a BTC Monetary System
3.6 A BTC Monetary System and the Business Cycle
3.7 Some Technical Aspects of BTC and Its Scalability
3.8 Conclusion on BTC, Precious Metals, and Inflation
Bibliography
4 Final Thoughts on Commodities, Crypto, and Inflation
Bibliography
Index