This book examines the recent changes in strategic stability, caused by the collapse of the international security architecture. Against the background of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, international experts discuss topics and critical issues such as the revanchist strategy of Russia and the readiness of the United States (US) and Europe to give an adequate response; the influence of new technologies in the future of nuclear deterrence; and the crumbling of the arms control and nonproliferation system under the new challenges. The book explains how the combination of these factors lead to a crucial change of strategic stability and the international security landscape, the first such change since the end of the Cold War.
Divided into three parts, the book presents timely analyses on (1) US, Russia: New Challenges and Strategic Stability in Europe; (2) Extended Deterrence and Arms Control in Europe; and (3) Regional Dimensions of Strategic Stability in Europe. It further offers perspectives from and case studies on different countries, such as Ukraine, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, the USA, Turkey, Poland, and Romania.
This book is a must-read for scholars for international relations, as well as policy-makers interested in a better understanding of the changing international security architecture, Russia's strategy, arms control, nonproliferation, and the future of nuclear deterrence.
Author(s): Polina Sinovets, William Alberque
Series: Contributions to International Relations
Publisher: Springer
Year: 2022
Language: English
Pages: 174
City: Cham
Contents
About the Editors
Introduction
Part I: The US, Russia: New Challenges and Strategic Stability in Europe
The US Arms Control Agenda: Impact on Europe
Introduction
Definitions
A Brief History of US-European Consultation and Coordination
The Current Agenda and Its Impact on Europe
US-Russia
US-China
Iran and North Korea
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT)
Outer Space, Emerging and Disruptive Technologies, and Missile Proliferation
The Biological Weapons Convention, the Chemical Weapons Convention
Euro-Atlantic Arms Control
Conclusions
References
Russia´s Foreign and Security Policy: The Evolution of the Escalation Strategy
References
The Crisis of Nuclear Arms Control amid Russia´s Military Offense Against Ukraine
References
Russia and Conventional Arms Control in Europe
CFE Treaty
Open Skies Treaty
Vienna Document of 2011
Conclusions
References
New Technologies and Nuclear Deterrence
Introduction
Some History
Potentially Disruptive Technologies
Possible Future Scenarios
Conclusions
References
Part II: Extended Deterrence and Arms Control in Europe
The Nuclear Umbrella in Europe
Extended Nuclear Deterrence
END in Europe
Impact of Three Trends on the END Debate
Deteriorating Security Situation
Changing Balance of Power
The Changing Nuclear Arms Control and Disarmament Regime
Domestic Politics and END
Conclusion
References
Nuclear Deterrence and Strategic Stability in Europe: French Positions and Perceptions
References
The UK´s Current Force Structure and Posture
Structure
Posture
Modernising the UK´s Nuclear Deterrent
Context
The UK´s Future Force Structure
The Integrated Review: Continuation in a Changing Strategic Environment
The Integrated Review: Alterations in a Changing Strategic Environment
Drivers for the UK´s Decision
Are these Drivers Justified?
References
Germany´s Position on the Future of Extended Deterrence and Arms Control in the Euro-Atlantic Region
Introduction
The Demise of Conventional and Nuclear Arms Control and CSBMs
Germany´s Role as Strong Arms Control Advocate
Germany´s Special Status in the Nuclear Sphere
Germany and the TPNW
The Demise of the Arms Control and CSBMs Structure in the Euro-Atlantic Region
Germany´s Views on the post-INF Setting
Germany as a Possible Candidate for a Bilateral Agreement with the US?
What Would Be the Practical Consequences of Such a Step?
Conclusion
References
Arms Control in Europe and Extended Deterrence: A View from Turkey
Introduction
Extended Deterrence and the Debate in Europe
Debate in Europe: Disarmament Versus Euro-deterrent
Turkey´s Policy on Nonproliferation, Arms Control and Disarmament
Determinants of Turkish Foreign and Security Policy
Turkey´s Non-Nuclear-Weapon State (NNWS) Status Explained
NATO Nuclear Umbrella
Efficiency and Compliance
NNWS Status as a Security Asset
US Tactical Nuclear Weapons in Incirlik
EPAA and Turkey
Conclusion
References
Part III: Regional Dimensions of Strategic Stability in Europe
Security and Defense Policy of Ukraine in the Main Provisions and Objectives of its Strategic Documents
Introduction
Conclusions
References
Ukraine´s Policy toward Regimes of Non-Proliferation and Arms Control
Guarantees Versus Weapons
Ukraine´s Current Policies toward Nuclear Weapons
Attitude to Other Regimes
Steps Forward
References
Strategic Risk Reduction in the Black Sea Region
Russia´s Concerns and Corresponding Actions
NATO and the Black Sea Region Concerns
The Role of Particular States in the Regional Strategic Stability
Conclusions
References
Regional Approaches to Strengthening the Eastern Flank of NATO: Case of Poland and Romania
Poland and Romania´s Perception of Russian Policy
Polish Security Concerns and the Baltic Sea Region
Romanian Concerns and the Black Sea Region
Polish and Romanian Approaches to Enhance NATO Eastern Flank
Conclusion
References
Iranian Nuclear Program and Its Impact on the European Security System
Historical Aspects of the Iranian Nuclear Program Before the JCPOA
The JCPOA: European Interests and the Evolution of the US Position Under Trump
The Conservative Breakthrough in Iran and Biden Administration
Possible Alternatives for Iran: Influence on European Security
References
